Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 27

Santos 2-1 Cruzeiro: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Urbano Caldeira, Santos (attendance: 13,877)
Referee:
Bruno Arleu de Araujo

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon56%

goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSantos172634%41%Draw28%29%Cruzeiro176338%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%53%O2.551%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cruzeiro0:0SantosD
  2. Santos3:0CruzeiroW
  3. Cruzeiro1:2SantosW
  4. Santos0:3CruzeiroL
  5. Cruzeiro2:1SantosL
Santos's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.2under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.9over 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 5
RefereeB. Arleu de Araujo+0.4 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Santos : Cruzeiro
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%1-29%2-18%0-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%1-27%2-19%0-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%1-21-29%1-27%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%74%74%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals71%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%69%69%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes56%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals51%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals49%51%51%
Both teams to score: no44%47%47%
2 – Cruzeiro win38%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
1 – Santos win34%42% · Elo 41%42%· Elo 41%
Over 3.5 goals29%27%27%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals23%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Santos attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1501defence1555−54 pts to the attack
Cruzeiro attack vs Santos defenceattack1521defence1470+51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cruzeiro: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Santos: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Cruzeiro: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Cruzeiro301461046:4448
8Santos301191046:4542
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Santos vs Cruzeiro?

Santos 2-1 Cruzeiro (half time 2-0).

Did the Santos vs Cruzeiro tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.