ChampionshipMatchday 12
Blackburn vs Wrexham: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%O2.545%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Blackburn0:2WrexhamL
- Wrexham1:1BlackburnD
Blackburn's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Blackburn : WrexhamMost likely scores
Model1-113%1-010%0-19%0-08%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%0-09%2-19%2-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-10-19%0-19%0-00-08%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 72%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%60% | 60% |
| 1 – Blackburn win | 39%40% · Elo 38% | 40%· Elo 38% |
| 2 – Wrexham win | 33%32% · Elo 35% | 32%· Elo 35% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
Attack vs defence
Blackburn attack vs Wrexham defenceattack1439defence1497−58 pts to the attack
Wrexham attack vs Blackburn defenceattack1497defence1510−13 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.551%56%
8.538%40%
9.526%31%
10.517%20%
Each team on its own
Blackburnwe expect 4.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Wrexhamwe expect 3.1, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 19.2 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.546%56%
20.538%46%
21.532%37%
22.525%33%
Each team on its own
Blackburnwe expect 9.2, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 43%
Wrexhamwe expect 10.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%66%
3.545%50%
4.527%32%
5.514%19%
Each team on its own
Blackburnwe expect 1.9, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Wrexhamwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Blackburn: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Blackburn: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Wrexham: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Blackburn win 39%, draw 28%, Wrexham win 33%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Blackburn 1.3, Wrexham 1.2). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Blackburn vs Wrexham?
The Championship match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).