Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.

Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Model1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7

Wolves : Watford

Most likely scores

Model1-111%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-16%3-1—

ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-010%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-16%3-1—

Outcome	Model	Attack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat	81%78%	78%
12 – no draw	77%75%	75%
1 – Wolves win	57%53% · Elo 76%	53%· Elo 76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	43%47%	47%
X – draw	23%25% · Elo 15%	25%· Elo 15%
2 – Watford win	19%22% · Elo 9%	22%· Elo 9%

Attack vs defence

Wolves attack vs Watford defenceattack1540defence1462+78 pts to the attack

Watford attack vs Wolves defenceattack1431defence1510−79 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%

We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.559%56%

8.545%40%

9.533%31%

10.523%20%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Wolveswe expect 5.1, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 57%

Watfordwe expect 3.5, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 45%

Foulsleague average

Over 20.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over

We expect 22.0 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

19.565%56%

20.558%46%

21.551%37%

22.544%33%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Wolveswe expect 10.5, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 59%

Watfordwe expect 11.7, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 60%

Offsidesleague average

Over 3.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over

We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.573%66%

3.553%50%

4.534%32%

5.520%19%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Wolveswe expect 2.2, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 63%

Watfordwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 49%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Watford: 4 defeats in a row
Wolves: newly promoted
Wolves: 4 days since the last match, 4 matches in the last 14 days.
Watford: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Wolves

Watford

League position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
9	Wolves	9	4	2	3	16:14	14
22	Watford	10	2	2	6	8:19	8

Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wolves vs Watford?

Wolves are the favourites. Chances: Wolves win 57%, draw 23%, Watford win 19%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Watford?

Expected goals: 2.9 (Wolves 1.9, Watford 1.0). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Wolves vs Watford?

The Championship match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).

Our tips

The match in numbers

Prediction: result and goals

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Worth knowing before kick-off

League form

Wolves

Watford

League position

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wolves vs Watford?

How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Watford?

When is Wolves vs Watford?

See also