Palmeiras vs Fluminense: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 7d 20h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloPalmeiras187461%60%Draw23%23%Fluminense176516%17%
Goalsattack/defenceno forecast
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fluminense3:2PalmeirasL
  2. Palmeiras2:1FluminenseW
  3. Palmeiras0:0FluminenseD
  4. Fluminense1:2PalmeirasW
  5. Palmeiras0:1FluminenseL
Palmeiras's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model1.8 : 0.8total 2.5
Palmeiras : Fluminense
Most likely scores
Model1-014%2-013%1-111%2-110%0-08%
Model1-01-014%2-02-013%1-11-111%2-12-110%0-00-08%
OutcomeModel
1X – home team avoid defeat84%
12 – no draw77%
1 – Palmeiras win61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%
X – draw23%
2 – Fluminense win16%

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fluminense: only 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Fluminense: newly promoted
  • Palmeiras: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Fluminense: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

Form in the competition

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2PalmeirasGroup F632110:511
2FluminenseGroup C62227:78
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Palmeiras are the favourites. Chances: Palmeiras win 61%, draw 23%, Fluminense win 16%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Expected goals: 2.5 (Palmeiras 1.8, Fluminense 0.8). Most likely score: 1-0.

When is Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

The CONMEBOL Libertadores match kicks off 22 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).