UEFA Champions LeagueMatchday 3
Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 6d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Porto : PSV EindhovenMost likely scores
Model1-110%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-27%
Model1-11-110%2-12-19%1-21-28%1-01-07%2-22-27%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57% |
| 1 – Porto win | 43% |
| 2 – PSV Eindhoven win | 34% |
| X – draw | 23% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- PSV Eindhoven score a lot late on: 8 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Porto: newly promoted
- Porto: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- PSV Eindhoven: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
Porto
PSV Eindhoven
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 29 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Porto win 43%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven win 34%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Porto 1.7, PSV Eindhoven 1.5). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
The UEFA Champions League match kicks off 20 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).