Roma vs Real Madrid: prediction, tips and stats

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Referee:
Francois Letexier

Our tips

Tip in 12h 44m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloRoma199927%33%Draw23%27%Real Madrid211149%40%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%O2.567%
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Roma0:2Real MadridL
  2. Real Madrid3:0RomaL
  3. Real Madrid2:0RomaL
  4. Roma0:2Real MadridL
  5. Real Madrid1:2RomaW
Roma's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeF. Letexier0.0 yellow cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removed
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 2.0total 3.5
Roma : Real Madrid
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-27%2-17%0-26%
Market1-11-110%1-21-29%2-22-27%2-12-17%0-20-26%
OutcomeMarket
Over 1.5 goals87%
12 – no draw76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score: yes67%
Under 3.5 goals54%
1X – home team avoid defeat50%
2 – Real Madrid win49%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Under 2.5 goals33%
Both teams to score: no33%
1 – Roma win27%
X – draw23%
Under 1.5 goals13%

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Real Madrid score 2.3 goals per game
  • Real Madrid matches average 5.3 cards (league 4.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Real Madrid: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Real Madrid matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Roma: newly promoted
  • Roma: 34 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Real Madrid: 36 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

Form in the competition

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Real Madrid11002:13
22Roma10101:11
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Roma vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid are the favourites. Chances: Roma win 27%, draw 23%, Real Madrid win 49%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Roma vs Real Madrid?

Expected goals: 3.5 (Roma 1.5, Real Madrid 2.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Roma vs Real Madrid?

The chance that both teams score is 67%.

When is Roma vs Real Madrid?

The UEFA Champions League match kicks off 14 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).

Who is the referee for Roma vs Real Madrid?

The referee is Francois Letexier. In 32 matches in our data they showed 3.7 yellow cards a match on average.