Serie AMatchday 8
Cagliari vs Bologna: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%52%O2.543%47%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bologna0:0CagliariD
- Cagliari0:2BolognaL
- Bologna2:1CagliariL
- Cagliari0:2BolognaL
- Cagliari2:1BolognaW
Cagliari's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.9over 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.3total 2.4Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Cagliari : BolognaMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%0-010%1-09%1-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%0-08%1-09%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-110%0-00-010%0-08%1-01-09%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%63% | 63% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%47% | 47% |
| 2 – Bologna win | 39%38% · Elo 39% | 38%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Cagliari win | 31%35% · Elo 31% | 35%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 30% | 28%· Elo 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%28% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Cagliari attack vs Bologna defenceattack1436defence1530−94 pts to the attack
Bologna attack vs Cagliari defenceattack1507defence1488+19 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%57%
8.542%41%
9.530%28%
10.521%19%
Each team on its own
Cagliariwe expect 4.3, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Bolognawe expect 3.8, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 21.5 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.541%51%
23.534%45%
24.528%37%
25.523%33%
Each team on its own
Cagliariwe expect 10.6, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 38%
Bolognawe expect 10.7, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 39%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%62%
3.557%41%
4.538%28%
5.522%15%
Each team on its own
Cagliariwe expect 2.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 65%
Bolognawe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Cagliari: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Cagliari: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Bologna: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Cagliari win 31%, draw 30%, Bologna win 39%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Bologna?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Cagliari 1.1, Bologna 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Bologna?
The chance that both teams score is 50%.
When is Cagliari vs Bologna?
The Serie A match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).