Eerste DivisieMatchday 10
Graafschap 2-1 Utrecht: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon68%
goals at both ends in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 9 (64% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Won9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%65%O2.572%66%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Graafschap1:0UtrechtW
- Utrecht2:3GraafschapW
- Utrecht1:1GraafschapD
- Graafschap2:2UtrechtD
- Graafschap2:2UtrechtD
Graafschap's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)67%11:1coverageleague 55% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.4total 3.7Attack/defence2.1 : 1.3total 3.4
Graafschap : UtrechtMost likely scores
Market2-19%1-18%2-06%3-17%1-0—2-26%Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-07%3-17%1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-18%1-19%2-02-06%2-07%3-13-17%3-17%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-26%2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72%66% | 66% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 69%65% | 65% |
| 1 – Graafschap win | 57%54% · Elo 58% | 54%· Elo 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51%44% | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%35% | 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Utrecht win | 22%24% · Elo 20% | 24%· Elo 20% |
| X – draw | 21%22% · Elo 22% | 22%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Graafschap attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1541defence1446+95 pts to the attack
Utrecht attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1444defence1468−24 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.556%57%
10.545%40%
11.534%32%
12.524%24%
Each team on its own
Graafschapwe expect 5.7, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 50%
Utrechtwe expect 4.6, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 24.3 in this match, 23.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.560%48%
23.553%46%
24.547%35%
25.540%32%
Each team on its own
Graafschapwe expect 12.8, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 50%
Utrechtwe expect 11.6, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 68%close to the league averageunderover 32%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.554%58%
3.532%30%
4.517%21%
5.58%11%
Each team on its own
Graafschapwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Utrechtwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Graafschap concede 2.3 goals per game
- Utrecht concede 2.1 goals per game
- Utrecht: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Graafschap: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Graafschap: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Utrecht: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 20 | Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Graafschap vs Utrecht?
Graafschap 2-1 Utrecht (half time 0-1).
Did the Graafschap vs Utrecht tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.