Liga PortugalMatchday 7

Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Referee:
Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won69%

4.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.7 in the visitors', league average 5.0; under 5.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (62% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 9.5Lost56%

    7.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.7 in the visitors', league average 9.4

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAlverca160652%41%Draw26%29%Rio Ave157922%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.550%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Rio Ave1:2AlvercaW
  2. Alverca1:1Rio AveD
  3. Rio Ave1:2AlvercaW
  4. Alverca1:0Rio AveW
Alverca's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.6league 5.0under 5.5: 69%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 4
RefereeL. Carlos Mateus Filipe−0.6 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Alverca : Rio Ave
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-08%2-19%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat78%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals75%74%74%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals72%73%73%
1 – Alverca win52%46% · Elo 41%46%· Elo 41%
Both teams to score: yes52%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals50%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals50%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat48%54%54%
Both teams to score: no48%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals28%27%27%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals25%26%26%
2 – Rio Ave win22%28% · Elo 30%28%· Elo 30%
Attack vs defence
Alverca attack vs Rio Ave defenceattack1431defence1391+40 pts to the attack
Rio Ave attack vs Alverca defenceattack1436defence1447−11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rio Ave concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Rio Ave matches average only 3.5 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Rio Ave score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Alverca: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Rio Ave: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Alverca832313:1211
14Rio Ave82158:177
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Alverca vs Rio Ave?

Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave (half time 1-0).

Did the Alverca vs Rio Ave tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.