DC United vs FC Cincinnati: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 21hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%O2.565%65%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.7
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- FC Cincinnati1:2DC UnitedW
- DC United0:1FC CincinnatiL
- DC United2:3FC CincinnatiL
- FC Cincinnati0:0DC UnitedD
- DC United3:0FC CincinnatiW
DC United's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.8total 3.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.7total 3.4
DC United : FC CincinnatiMost likely scores
Model1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-0—Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-05%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-16%0-16%1-01-0—1-05%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57%57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%43% | 43% |
| 2 – FC Cincinnati win | 42%40% · Elo 45% | 40%· Elo 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%35% | 35% |
| 1 – DC United win | 35%36% · Elo 28% | 36%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 27% | 23%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
DC United attack vs FC Cincinnati defenceattack1393defence1416−23 pts to the attack
FC Cincinnati attack vs DC United defenceattack1580defence1418+162 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%55%
9.549%44%
10.537%33%
11.527%25%
Each team on its own
DC Unitedwe expect 4.8, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 35%
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 4.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 18.2 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.531%53%
21.525%46%
22.519%40%
23.515%35%
Each team on its own
DC Unitedwe expect 9.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 8.9, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 29%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.556%59%
3.534%39%
4.518%20%
5.58%11%
Each team on its own
DC Unitedwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
FC Cincinnatiwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Cincinnati concede 2.3 goals per game
- FC Cincinnati: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- DC United played 3 days ago
- FC Cincinnati played 3 days ago
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: DC United win 35%, draw 24%, FC Cincinnati win 42%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
Expected goals: 3.4 (DC United 1.6, FC Cincinnati 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match kicks off 25 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).