Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.560%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- St. Louis City1:1Real Salt LakeD
- St. Louis City2:2Real Salt LakeD
- Real Salt Lake3:2St. Louis CityW
- Real Salt Lake3:1St. Louis CityW
- St. Louis City1:1Real Salt LakeD
Real Salt Lake's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.1under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.5total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Real Salt Lake : St. Louis CityMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%1-07%1-28%0-1—2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-18%2-2—2-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%66% | 66% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%60% | 60% |
| 1 – Real Salt Lake win | 40%40% · Elo 33% | 40%· Elo 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%31% | 31% |
| 2 – St. Louis City win | 35%34% · Elo 39% | 34%· Elo 39% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Real Salt Lake attack vs St. Louis City defenceattack1441defence1515−74 pts to the attack
St. Louis City attack vs Real Salt Lake defenceattack1541defence1515+26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.555%55%
9.542%44%
10.531%33%
11.521%25%
Each team on its own
Real Salt Lakewe expect 4.4, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 29%
St. Louis Citywe expect 4.5, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 22.4 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.561%53%
21.554%46%
22.547%40%
23.540%35%
Each team on its own
Real Salt Lakewe expect 11.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
St. Louis Citywe expect 11.1, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.547%59%
3.525%39%
4.512%20%
5.55%11%
Each team on its own
Real Salt Lakewe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
St. Louis Citywe expect 1.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 28%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Real Salt Lake concede 2.0 goals per game
- St. Louis City score 3.0 goals per game
- St. Louis City: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- St. Louis City: 4 wins in a row
- St. Louis City: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Real Salt Lake: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Real Salt Lake: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- St. Louis City: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:38 | 50 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Real Salt Lake win 40%, draw 25%, St. Louis City win 35%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Real Salt Lake 1.6, St. Louis City 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 60%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
The MLS match kicks off 25 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).