Primera LPFMatchday 14
Tigre vs Atl. Tucuman: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%45%O2.534%40%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Atl. Tucuman0:0TigreD
- Atl. Tucuman1:2TigreW
- Tigre0:0Atl. TucumanD
- Tigre0:0Atl. TucumanD
- Atl. Tucuman3:0TigreL
Tigre's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.8over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.9total 2.0Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Tigre : Atl. TucumanMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-014%1-013%0-111%2-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-010%1-014%0-19%2-010%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-014%0-010%1-01-013%1-014%0-10-111%0-19%2-02-08%2-010%2-12-1—2-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 85%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66%60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 58%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Tigre win | 40%48% · Elo 46% | 48%· Elo 46% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38%33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 32%28% · Elo 30% | 28%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Atl. Tucuman win | 28%24% · Elo 25% | 24%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Tigre attack vs Atl. Tucuman defenceattack1494defence1468+26 pts to the attack
Atl. Tucuman attack vs Tigre defenceattack1476defence1535−59 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.562%63%
7.548%52%
8.535%40%
9.524%30%
Each team on its own
Tigrewe expect 4.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Atl. Tucumanwe expect 3.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 19.8 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.535%56%
22.529%50%
23.523%45%
24.518%37%
Each team on its own
Tigrewe expect 8.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 22%
Atl. Tucumanwe expect 11.2, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.575%65%
3.555%41%
4.536%26%
5.521%14%
Each team on its own
Tigrewe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Atl. Tucumanwe expect 2.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 72%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Tigre: 5 defeats in a row
- Tigre: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Atl. Tucuman score a lot late on: 7 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Tigre: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Atl. Tucuman: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
| 12 | Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:13 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tigre vs Atl. Tucuman?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Tigre win 40%, draw 32%, Atl. Tucuman win 28%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Atl. Tucuman?
Expected goals: 2.0 (Tigre 1.1, Atl. Tucuman 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 34%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Tigre vs Atl. Tucuman?
The chance that both teams score is 42%.
When is Tigre vs Atl. Tucuman?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 24 October 2026, 01:15 (UK time).