UEFA Champions LeagueMatchday 3
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 7d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceno forecast
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Real Madrid1:1RB LeipzigD
- RB Leipzig0:1Real MadridW
- RB Leipzig3:2Real MadridL
- Real Madrid2:0RB LeipzigW
Real Madrid's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model3.0 : 1.0total 4.1
Real Madrid : RB LeipzigMost likely scores
Model3-18%2-18%3-08%2-08%4-16%
Model3-13-18%2-12-18%3-03-08%2-02-08%4-14-16%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 90% |
| 12 – no draw | 87% |
| 1 – Real Madrid win | 78% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 22% |
| X – draw | 13% |
| 2 – RB Leipzig win | 10% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Real Madrid score 2.3 goals per game
- Real Madrid matches average 5.3 cards (league 4.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Real Madrid: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Real Madrid matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- RB Leipzig: newly promoted
- Real Madrid: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- RB Leipzig: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 20 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Real Madrid are the favourites. Chances: Real Madrid win 78%, draw 13%, RB Leipzig win 10%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Expected goals: 4.1 (Real Madrid 3.0, RB Leipzig 1.0). Most likely score: 3-1.
When is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
The UEFA Champions League match kicks off 21 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).