UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 3
Sturm Graz vs Marseille: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 8d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Sturm Graz : MarseilleMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-012%0-111%2-18%1-28%
Model1-11-112%1-01-012%0-10-111%2-12-18%1-21-28%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60% |
| 1 – Sturm Graz win | 40% |
| 2 – Marseille win | 35% |
| X – draw | 25% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Marseille: newly promoted
- Sturm Graz: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Marseille: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
Sturm Graz
Marseille
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Marseille?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Sturm Graz win 40%, draw 25%, Marseille win 35%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs Marseille?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Sturm Graz 1.3, Marseille 1.2). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Sturm Graz vs Marseille?
The UEFA Europa League match kicks off 22 October 2026, 17:45 (UK time).