Liga PortugalMatchday 7

Guimaraes 1-1 Moreirense: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes
Referee:
Sergio Jose Dos Santos Guelho

The match in numbers

1X2EloGuimaraes165664%44%Draw22%29%Moreirense162614%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%49%O2.552%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Guimaraes1:0MoreirenseW
  2. Moreirense2:0GuimaraesL
  3. Moreirense2:2GuimaraesD
  4. Guimaraes1:0MoreirenseW
  5. Guimaraes1:0MoreirenseW
Guimaraes's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 3
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.0over 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 0
RefereeS. Jose Dos Santos Guelho−0.8 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.8total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Guimaraes : Moreirense
Most likely scores
Market1-012%1-111%2-012%2-110%0-0—3-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%2-010%2-19%0-09%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-012%1-11-111%1-112%2-02-012%2-010%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-0—0-09%3-03-08%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%78%78%
12 – no draw78%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals77%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals70%76%76%
1 – Guimaraes win64%52% · Elo 44%52%· Elo 44%
Over 2.5 goals52%46%46%
Both teams to score: no52%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals48%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes48%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals30%24%24%
Under 1.5 goals23%29%29%
X – draw22%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
2 – Moreirense win14%22% · Elo 27%22%· Elo 27%
Attack vs defence
Guimaraes attack vs Moreirense defenceattack1501defence1439+62 pts to the attack
Moreirense attack vs Guimaraes defenceattack1418defence1525−107 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Moreirense concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Guimaraes score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Guimaraes: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Guimaraes: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Moreirense: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Moreirense82248:158
15Guimaraes81255:105
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Guimaraes vs Moreirense?

Guimaraes 1-1 Moreirense (half time 0-0).