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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Rehberg vs Mayo: prediction and tips

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Max Hans RehbergATP #248Elo 1719hard 1724
-:-awaiting result
Aidan MayoATP #285Elo 1770hard 1764

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Mayo57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Rehberg lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Mayo won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Mayo: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 24.560%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mayo: 6 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.538%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 38%

Mayo: 6 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Max Hans Rehberg40%
Aidan Mayo61%

Elo: M. Rehberg 44% · A. Mayo 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Rehberg23%
2:1 M. Rehberg16%
2:1 A. Mayo21%
2:0 A. Mayo39%

First set

Max Hans Rehberg42%
Aidan Mayo58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 6,072 matches

Games handicap

A. Mayo −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RehbergTourA. Mayo
Service points won65%62%66%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held82%76%83%
Breaks of serve26%24%24%
Aces per service game0.290.57
Double faults per game0.190.35
Sets with a tie-break16%22%
Tie-breaks won7/2011/29
Wins in straight sets72%73%
Matches in the sample5455

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Max Hans Rehberg

Aidan Mayo

Elo over the last year

Max Hans RehbergAidan Mayo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RehbergA. Mayo
Hard court15–671%29–1862%
Clay17–1652%4–357%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Max Hans Rehberg

Aidan Mayo

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